Preview, team news, head to head, probable line ups, tactical analysis and where to watch Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid in Tuesday’s Champions League semi-final return leg
Arsenal are set to lock horns with Atlético Madrid in the second leg of their Champions League semi-final, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 local time (15:00 ET / 12:00 PT). The tie is on a knife-edge following a cagey 1-1 draw at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano last week, where both goals came from the penalty spot via Viktor Gyökeres and Julián Álvarez.
Arsenal, chasing their first-ever Champions League trophy and their first final since 2006, arrive with high confidence after a clinical 3-0 victory over Fulham at the weekend, which moved them six points clear at the top of the Premier League. Yet, they face an Atlético side that secured a morale-boosting 2-0 win over Valencia in their most recent domestic outing.
Team news & injury updates
Arsenal
Mikel Arteta is optimistic about a double boost for the second leg after rotating his squad for the Fulham victory, as Martin Ødegaard and Kai Havertz missed the game but are fighting to be fit.
Following his return from a recent injury, Saka played 45 minutes against Fulham and scored; he is expected to start on the right wing. Mikel Merino is sidelined, while Jurriën Timber is a doubt.
Atlético Madrid
Diego Simeone faces several headaches regarding the availability of his key stars. Julián Álvarez could be available, but Nicolas Gonzalez and Pablo Barrios are expected to miss the trip. José María Giménez, Alexander Sorloth, Alex Baena and Giuliano Simeone are all doubtful ahead of the crucial second leg.
Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid head-to-head (H2H)
History at the Emirates Stadium gives Arsenal the psychological edge, particularly following their dominant display earlier this season.
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Last 5 Meetings:
- 29/04/2026: Atlético Madrid 1-1 Arsenal (UCL Semi-final)
- 21/10/2025: Arsenal 4-0 Atlético Madrid (UCL League Phase)
- 03/05/2018: Atlético Madrid 1-0 Arsenal (UEL)
- 26/04/2018: Arsenal 1-1 Atlético Madrid (UEL)
Probable line-ups
| Position | Arsenal Predicted XI (4-3-3) | Atletico Madrid Predicted XI (4-4-2) |
| Goalkeeper | Raya | Jan Oblak |
| Defence | White, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapié | Llorente, Pubill, Hancko, Ruggeri |
| Midfield | Rice, Zubimendi, Ødegaard | Simeone, Cardoso, Koke, Lookman |
| Attack | Saka, Gyökeres, Eze | Griezmann, Álvarez |
Tactical Analysis: How the game will be won
The Battle: Patience vs. The Simeone Block
The defining conflict of this match is Arsenal’s ability to break down a rigid Atlético defence without over-committing. Arsenal dominated possession in the first leg but found clear-cut chances hard to come by until the penalty.
With the tie level, the Emirates factor will be vital, as Arsenal destroyed Atlético 4-0 here in October by scoring early and forcing Simeone’s side to open up. If the Gunners fail to score in the first hour, the tension will favour Atlético’s experienced tactics.
Manager insight
Arteta will look to Viktor Gyökeres to bully the Atlético centre-backs, while Simeone knows that a single goal on the break could be enough to see his side through. He will rely on Jan Oblak’s shot-stopping and Antoine Griezmann’s transitional play to silence the North London crowd.
Where to watch Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid
In the United Kingdom, the match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate, with streaming available via the discovery+ app. Coverage begins at 19:00 BST. In the United States, the game is available on CBS, Paramount+, and ViX, with kick-off at 15:00 ET / 12:00 PT.
Market insights & probability
According to the latest sports data, Arsenal are the strong favourites to win the second leg with a 58.3% probability. Atlético Madrid are valued at a 17.7% chance for an away victory, while a draw (which would lead to extra time) sits at 24%. Given the high stakes, analysts expect a cagey affair, though Arsenal’s recent home scoring record makes them the heavy fancy to reach the final in Munich.