Preview, team news, head to head, probable line ups, tactical analysis and where to watch Bayern Munich vs PSG in Wednesday’s Champions League semi-final return leg
Bayern Munich host Paris Saint-Germain at the Allianz Arena this Wednesday for the second leg of the Champions League semi-final tie, with kick-off set for 21:00 local time (20:00 BST / 15:00 ET).
Following an epic 5-4 victory for PSG at the Parc des Princes in the first leg – an enthralling encounter that saw nine goals and two braces – the tie remains balanced on a knife-edge.
Having already secured the Bundesliga title, Bayern Munich enter the home leg needing to overturn a one-goal deficit to reach their first final since 2020.
Vincent Kompany returns to the touchline after being suspended for the first leg, where assistant Aaron Danks deputised. PSG, the reigning Champions League holders, aim to protect their slender lead and secure back-to-back final appearances under Luis Enrique.
Team news & injury updates
Bayern Munich
Serge Gnabry is ruled out for the remainder of the season with a thigh injury sustained in early April. Raphael Guerreiro is out too, while Lennart Karl is a doubt ahead of the second leg.
PSG
Luis Enrique faces a defensive reshuffle following a costly first leg, as Achraf Hakimi is ruled out after suffering a hamstring tear in the closing stages of the 5-4 win. Matvei Safonov is expected to start in goal, while backup keeper Lucas Chevalier is managing and injury issue.
Bayern vs PSG head-to-head (H2H)
Bayern Munich and PSG have developed a fierce modern rivalry. Notably, in their 17 competitive meetings, the two sides have never played out a draw.
Last five meetings:
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Probable line-ups
| Position | Bayern Munich Predicted XI | PSG Predicted XI |
| Goalkeeper | Neuer | Safonov |
| Defence | Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Davis | Zaire-Emery, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes |
| Midfield | Kimmich, Pavlović | Vitinha, João Neves, Fabián Ruiz |
| Attack | Olise, Musiala, Díaz, Kane | Doué, Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia |
Tactical Analysis: How the game will be won
The Battle: Speed vs. Structural Discipline
The tactical focal point is how PSG handles the absence of Achraf Hakimi. Luis Enrique is likely to ask Warren Zaire-Emery to drop into the right-back role, which could leave PSG more vulnerable to the direct running of Luis Díaz.
Bayern Munich will employ their trademark high press, hoping to force errors from a PSG midfield that occasionally struggled with the Bavarians’ intensity in the first leg.
Manager insight
Vincent Kompany has backed his team “100 percent,” calling on the Allianz Arena crowd to create a hostile environment. He will look to Harry Kane to challenge the aerial dominance of Marquinhos and Willian Pacho. Luis Enrique, meanwhile, will rely on the clinical edge of Ousmane Dembélé and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to find a decisive away goal.
With PSG leading by one, they may look to use possession to take the sting out of the game, but Bayern’s verticality makes them dangerous at all times.
Where to watch Bayern Munich vs PSG
In the United Kingdom, the match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and streamed via discovery+, with coverage starting at 19:00 BST for the 20:00 kickoff. In the United States, the game is available on CBS, Paramount+, and ViX, with kick-off at 15:00 ET / 12:00 PT.
Market insights & probability
According to latest market data, Bayern Munich are the home favourites for the night with a 57% win probability. PSG are valued at 24% for an away victory, while the draw – a result never seen in this fixture – sits at 19%. Following the nine-goal thriller in Paris, bookmakers are anticipating another high-scoring affair, with Over 3.5 goals carrying high market confidence.
